The new cold war: collective discussion

This year in our country and abroad are increasingly political confrontation between Moscow and Washington began to call a new cold war. Americans never cease to Express their uniqueness and not in the least prepared to give anyone his world domination. This eliminates any potential output capability of any state to the level of technical, economic, financial, military development, with which it could challenge the “hegemony”.
Russia was the first country that in the XXI century announced the death of the paradigm of a unipolar world, came to the defense of national States. How did it affect the world political situation, we will discuss tomorrow at the club “Essence of time” in Yekaterinburg. Define the factors destabilizing war in the middle East, the interests and actions of Russia on settlement of the conflict in Syria.

Continue joint discussion of the book S. E. Kurginyan “Swing: conflict of elites – or the collapse of Russia?”. Specific examples, taken from the book, the history of the formation of a new political system of modern Russia.
We invite you to join the discussion on Tuesday, 20 October 2015 at 19:00, to the address: Ekaterinburg, street of Engels, d. 16 “the House of the merchant Osokin”.

Date of entry: October 19, 2015.

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Alternative party

Last week on 25 November 2015, we have in particular Paphos opened Presidential Center B. N. Yeltsin, or Yeltsin Center. All the Moscow liberal crowd rolled in Ekaterinburg. Global significance was visited by foreign guests and other interested persons. And topped it all withaboutBor incumbent President.
The idea is good and the history of the country of course you need to know. However, the EC, like all of the current life in Russia is a continuation of the Yeltsin era – the era of deception. In the years of his reign, the country and people have experienced huge upheavals. Therefore sacrilegious to spend on the center of the 7 billion roubles and thus to offer “up to heaven” of the person at which the mortality rate greatly exceeded the value of the previous period, because about 10 million people died, was not found. As noted Chubais – do not fit into the market. In which the population was robbed by stakeholders; which were trampled, literally rasstreljany in October 1993, the democratic norms. Although Putin at last he closed his eyes and at the opening of the “Palace” said, “Yeltsin had a direct and strong-willed character, and largely due to these qualities, the country never deviated from the democratic path.”

Perhaps in time the tone and content of EC will change at the appropriate historical truth, and while popular opinion about the years of Yeltsin’s presidency, the actual statistics were presented at two sites.

One of them is in the form of a street exhibition “#Epochally. God forbid again” took place last Saturday November 28, 2015, right at the entrance to the EC. The organizers of the movement “patriots of Ural”.

Another alternative to “Yeltsin Centre”, street of Engels, 16 is our, Sverdlovsk branch of “essence of time”, the photo exhibition “the History of ellinizma. Chronicles of distemper time“has been working since November 25. The atmosphere and the content of the exhibition accurately convey the heritage of the Yeltsin era, the pain of loss and humiliation of the people. Drawings from the book by Sergey Kara-Murza “what is Russia heading for” complete the picture of the tragedy. This exhibition is about the lack of love for his country, the love she didn’t know for 25 years.
As the exhibition aroused great interest of the citizens we decided to prolong until December 6, inclusive.
The exhibition is open:
Monday – Friday: from 12:00 to 19:00
Saturday – Sunday: 10:00 to 20:00
Admission is free

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First results


Treated the selection as a whole, and have the opportunity to see the entire picture – albeit in the most General terms.
I recall in the sampling of natural disasters from 33 to 1933, inclusive (1054 all, part of the years without disasters).

Took regions of the Old world, i.e. Europe, North Africa and the Byzantine Empire with the Caucasus, appear in the Ancient world.
Refused inclusion in the sample resettlements, expulsions and mass repressions, without them it would be more accurate.
Russia is not included due to the originality. In the standard concept of “Old world” Russia, I somehow didn’t fit.
Main purpose: search of recurring events, e.g., tsunami in Northern Africa or the drought in Germany.
In itself, the repetition of the cataclysm means nothing, but if in year ten, and eight of them were repeated in the same interval, this is important.
Did the principled thing: dipped recurrence within the year.
If passed in Germany for the year 14 of epidemics, I leave you all alone – the fact of the epidemic in the region in a certain year.
While defeats more than victories. But there was certainty.
IMPORTANT: (late comment) as it turns out, I have incorrectly sorted the finished array. Remade. Conceptualize.

So we have 6562 events from 33 in 1933. That’s how they were distributed by region:
699 Italy
644 Germany
580 Europe Eastern
562 Western Europe
531 Turkey
524 France
435 Europe in General
432 Britain
274 Asia antique (Crescent)
249 Transcaucasia
243 Baltic
216 Iberian Peninsula
188 Greece
187 North Africa
174 the Alps
151 Europe North
150 Iceland
118 the World as a whole
90 South Europe
65 Macaronesia
35 Asia Western
15 East Africa (Ethiopia)
And that’s how they were distributed across types of disasters:
1537 Epidemic
738 Earthquake
437 Eruption
427 Hurricanes
415 Tsunami
398 Precipitation
388 Fires
362 Cold
325 Flood
280 Hunger
234 Comets and meteorites
218 Heat, drought
166 Mass psychosis
106 Signs
98 Storm surges
98 Locust and pests
80 Epizootic
80 crop damage
77 Ash, smoke
71 Chemical effects
27 Electrical phenomena
Hyperkalaemia with lots of variety of disasters and have a lot of correlations in other years.
Here is an example. Disaster 1347-1349, has in 1348 39 events and correlations – only in the 1780s years as much as 286.
Only this year has 1059 correlations.

Here is the distribution of the number of disasters of the Old world. A familiar failure in the 18th century. The peak at 1348.

And here is the distribution of correlations disasters. Pretty good.
In fact, correlations are halved, I just don’t have time to clean my mirror duplicates.

But the ratio of the number of correlations to the number of disasters. And the dynamics here are different.

And here I marked the years with at least 5 disasters and not less than 80 (actually 40) correlations.
It’s pretty tough conditions, and ancient catastrophes such requirements are not satisfied.

Now the same thing, but bigger and in the period. Here only labels.
Despite the fact that in the 19th century began the rapid development of seismology, Volcanology, meteorology, dramatically increased the number of observations, the world was covered by a mass of information networks, appeared in the media, and the ratio of the number of correlations to the disasters fell sharply.
The reason: up until the early 19th century the correlations are of abnormal character, and indicate the duplication and the rendition of documents.
It is also important concentration correlations at the beginning of the era of Great geographical discoveries.
For the simple reason that geographical discoveries strongly smeared by the paper scale, and with them udeblivelse and disasters.

The instrument was found not just good, but extraordinary importance. Was b lab, would upload to the fullest.
A dozen doctoral staff here definitely has )

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The GULAG life-giving makes

Мюнхаузен“Johnny, do me a mounting”: “kiss” – “chick” – “baby”. This scheme, which the historians hide the historical process.

And when you ask a question: but that’s impossible! For example to build the Dragon rolls, on the level of technology and population, we are just talking about historians, it should be iron argument of Baron Munchausen on the question whether it is possible to pull yourself by the hair from a swamp: “you see, gentlemen – I’m with you!”

Once the Black sea is, then ancient ukry were able to dig him up. Wooden shovels. Continue reading “The GULAG life-giving makes”

Built, built and at last constructed

In October 1992, the newspaper Fakty interviewed Boris Yeltsin. To the question from readers: where is Russia heading? What is the architecture of our state? Yeltsin responded as follows:
“The main thing I want to say to those who screams everywhere, if Russia goes to capitalism: no capitalism, what we are not Russia. Russia is simply incapable of this. Russia is a unique country. It will be neither in socialism nor in capitalism. It will be Russia, which finally threw off the yoke of slavery, gave freedom to man, freedom companies, freedom of enterprise, freedom to the republics forming part of Russia, freedom to the regions, areas and edges, with minimal pressure from Moscow, with minimum bureaucracy from the centre with maximum autonomy in the field.

But without Autonomous principalities. No special territories! Russia remains, and will remain whole as a single state – the great and powerful. A decent person with material support. I think this is the real aspects of the future of Russia. Russia, which its foreign policy will finally lead not in two, three standards, and one by one. The measure of moral policy, of truth, of sincerity, of openness with all States.
I hope that Russia, warped militaristic economy, will go to a normal, civilized market. Look, China declared itself a socialist market economy. We do not declare a socialist economy, but the market. We will strive to attain it. Although possible differences from other countries in which the market operates for more than one hundred years. In principle, it will be free enterprise of a free people.”
Talking about the first President to get. Russia will be neither in socialism nor in capitalism, she finally threw off the yoke of slavery… A slavery? And where is Russia going? In feudalism? But without Autonomous principalities. In my opinion, Yeltsin just did not have a clear vision of the future of Russia, or he didn’t want to talk about it.
Not questioning his actions and his team were aimed at the destruction of the entire Soviet in our country. And it was one of the main strategic objectives. Institute of democracy: the Supreme Council and the Congress of people’s deputies was trampled in the dirt. To use military force in October 1993 to establish democracy in the country. What’s more absurd?
The shooting of the Council House can be explained only by a pathological desire for power, which were possible further reforms in the country and the construction of which is unknown. The refusal of the Soviets, which were widespread in the Russian Republic after the February revolution of 1917 and the overthrow of the king; the restoration of the State Duma; introduction of presidential Board, when the President is not included in the system of separation of powers, and is over her, carrying out coordinating functions Willy nilly, makes me think, and not whether Yeltsin a reenactor Russian “monarchy”. When the power goes “inherited” the previous President publicly declares his successor, because there was transfer of power in recent years. And the elections proved it.

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Currency war as the main method of struggle for dominance in the world

In the web arise periodically heated battles on “the dollar certainly going to die” or “the dollar is our all and will live forever.” Both these statements as radical as much and do not reflect the real essence of the processes occurring in the world. It is understood that nothing in this world does not exist forever. Similarly, it is clear that in today’s global economy is only a dollar can be called real money, all the other currencies is derivatives. And the dollar will live as long as alive, this is the global world economy. The only question is how much it will stretch it.

For any cushion strategists, no matter what point of view they hold, will be very useful to read the book, James Rickards “currency war.” For all that the author is well versed in the subject matter, the book has built the traditional way – “what was, what is, what will happen,” the book is interesting not only that. First of all it is interesting the presence of information that rarely find in the public domain. Continue reading “Currency war as the main method of struggle for dominance in the world”

Tell me, Uncle …

 Monument to Minin and Pozharsky
The monument to Minin and Pozharsky. 1818

Who wrote “Mu-mu”
– Turgenev.
– And why the monument to Gogol?
In honor of the victory over the enemy in the War of 1812 in 1818, in Moscow, on which the brunt, unveiled a monument to Minin and Pozharsky, the heroes of the war in 1612.

On the wave of patriotism Pushkin wrote a poem about the glory of Russian weapons:

Cheers! we is broken; bend Swedes.
O glorious hour! a nice view!
More pressure – and the enemy flees.
Continue reading “Tell me, Uncle …”